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Daily Fantasy Football: Best Value Picks For Week 14

December 7, 2017
A professional poker player with more than $6 million in career tournament winnings once revealed in an interview what he considered the most important attribute for a successful poker player.

Matt Glantz, one of the most respected figures in poker, said key attribute was the ability to adapt. As the circumstances of a poker tournament changes, a player has to recognize those shifts and adapt accordingly.

So what's that have to do with daily fantasy football?

We can sometimes hold onto our opinions about what we believe we know about football and the players a little too tightly, and we may fail to realize that life in the NFL, like a poker tournament, is fluid. Especially in DFS, we have to recognize when an unexpected development presents opportunity and seize the moment.

Last week, two players emerged as potential big-time point-getters who didn't even have a 2017 stat line worth mentioning going into their respective games. However, those players are now possibly the No. 1 runner and the top receiver on their respective teams for the rest of the season. And for now, they're still DFS salary cap bargains.

Both Cleveland Browns wide receiver Josh Gordon and Seattle Seahawks running back Mike Davis are still value picks this week after performances that seemed to earn each of them a prominent role within their team's offense, and it's time to adapt. Along with those two, here are some value picks.

Quarterback

Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks: Yes, the schedule shows that Wilson has to take on the No. 1 defense in the league, the Jacksonville Jaguars, on the road. But Wilson's position within the Seattle offense is astounding. Of his team's 30 offensive touchdowns, Wilson has been involved, as a passer or runner in 29 of them. Yet, Wilson -- the top fantasy-point producer on both DraftKings and FanDuel -- is just $6,200 on DraftKings (tied for sixth among quarterbacks), where his value is especially attractive.

Running backs

Mike Davis, Seattle Seahawks: Davis had just 59 yards from scrimmage all season before being used as Seattle's No. 1 running back against the Philadelphia Eagles Dec. 3. He responded with 101 yards from scrimmage (64 rushing, 37 passing on four receptions). His price tag makes him a huge bargain.

Lamar Miller, Houston Texans: Miller is a cash game play who should improve on his average of about 14 fantasy points a game (DraftKings) against a soft San Francisco 49ers defense.

Giovani Bernard, Cincinnati Bengals: Bernard's value is linked with the status of fellow Bengals running back Joe Mixon, who has been in concussion protocol. If Mixon doesn't play, Bernard will get starter-type touches at an extremely low salary cap figure.

Wide receivers

Josh Gordon, Cleveland Browns: Gordon surprised a lot of people by getting 11 targets in his first game back after nearly two years on suspension. He brought in just four of those passes but they went for a total of 85 yards as he flashed his former big-play ability. At $5,500, he's not in the bargain bin, but he's going to be an extremely popular pick.

Golden Tate, Detroit Lions: Someone on the Lions is going to have a big receiving day against Tampa Bay, and Tate is the frontrunner considering the targets he typically sees. The Buccaneers are near the bottom of the league in defending wide receivers.

Tight end

Jimmy Graham, Seattle Seahawks: It's going to be thin at tight end this week with the New England Patriots' Rob Gronkowski suspended and Philadelphia Eagles' Zach Ertz in concussion protocol. If you can afford him, the Kansas City Chiefs' Travis Kelce is the top pick at a steep price. The alternative is Graham, who does have nine touchdown catches this season but whose salary cap figure ($5,000, DraftKings) is far below Kelce's ($7,400, DK).

Kicker

Matt Prater, Detroit Lions: Look for a bounce-back performance from Prater (he missed a short field goal and an extra point last week) with the Lions playing in Tampa Bay, where they should score a bunch of points. The weather forecast is pleasant (high 50s-low 60s, with mild wind).

Defense/special teams

New York Jets: The Jets play the Denver Broncos, who have turned into the Cleveland Browns, at least on offense. To illustrate the point, the Broncos are second in the league to the Browns in giveaways (27 for Denver to Cleveland's 30). As a bonus for the Jets, the Broncos have also been struggling on special teams, so there may be some points to be picked up there with a blocked kick or punt or even a touchdown return.

Photo Credit: Sabina Moran/PressBox